I am trying to generate a sample of 100 scenarios (X, Y) where both X and Y are normally distributed X=N(50,5^2), Y=N(30,2^2) and X and Y are correlated Cov(X,Y)=0.4.
I have been able to generate 100 scenarios with the Cholesky decomposition:
# We do a Cholesky decomposition to generate correlated scenarios
nScenarios = 10
Σ = [25 0.4; 0.4 4]
μ = [50, 30]
L = cholesky(Σ)
v = [rand(Normal(0, 1), nScenarios), rand(Normal(0, 1), nScenarios)]
X = reshape(zeros(nScenarios),1,nScenarios)
Y = reshape(zeros(nScenarios),1,nScenarios)
for i = 1:nScenarios
X[1, i] = sum(L.U[1, j] *v[j][i] for j = 1:nBreadTypes) + μ[1]
Y[1, i] = sum(L.U[2, j] *v[j][i] for j = 1:nBreadTypes) + μ[2]
end
However I need the probability of each scenario, i.e P(X=k and Y=p). My question would be, how can we get a sample of a certain distribution with the probability of each scenario?