I'm trying make sense of the RDS "Burst Balance" metric that I'm seeing over the past couple months. According to the metrics reported in CloudWatch, my burst balance never seems to drop lower than 99%, but sometimes it stays near 99% for weeks and sometimes it recovers back to 100% rather quickly. The graph below is Burst Balance between 5/1/2020 and 7/23/2020.
I'm confused because there seems to be no correlation between this metric and any other metric, such as system traffic reported by the load balancer. Also - why does it never drop below 99% and why does it sometimes take weeks to return to 100% even though there is very little traffic on my system past 5:00 PM every day, and virtually none on weekends? Here is my system traffic (load balancer request count) for that same time period:
Why is the burst balance all over the place when the system traffic is very predictable and repetitive?

