First meaningful paint "candidate" vs first meaningful paint?

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What is a first meaningful paint (FMP) candidate as noted my Chrome Developer Tools? How does this differ from the first meaningful paint?

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As you can see the yellow lines are the FMPs, the first two being labelled "candidates" with the last just being the FMP. What flags the first two as possible FMPs and what stops them from being the real one, is it just a repaint or reflow after that point that makes it not count?

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