Java vs C++ Qt : what choice for a gentle deployment?

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I need a bit of wisdom from the stackoverflow.

I'm going to developp a GUI application which will process xml data via forms. I have selected two options : Java (swing or swt) or Qt.

I've already try a basic tutorial with both Qt (Qt designer) and Java (Eclipse). And I must admit that both will fill my needs.

The last question I have to solve is how painful will be the deployment ?

The end user is a non-tech, so the installation and update process have to be easy.

Java has the Java Web Start, with easy updating; Qt may be more "packaged" without the JVM need.

What do you think ? What are the pros and cons ?

Thanks a lot

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