fb-prophet: optimal tuning for seasonality

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I am using prophet for alerting purposes. In most cases it's a great algorithm. Here is an example of some of my data (red) and where prophet triggers (blue). plot with prophet triggers I would like prophet to ignore these recurring drops. I have tried to tune the algorithm with these hyperparameters:

  • interval_width
  • changepoint_prior_scale
  • seasonality_prior_scale

But I cannot get the algorithm to ignore these recurring drops. Any pointers?

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